According to Grosvenor Sport’s latest Champions League Supercomputer predictions, Bayern Munich will have an unfulfilling Champions League run.
While the Bavarians are predicted to romp through the League Phase, Bayern Munich is predicted to run into Real Madrid in the quarterfinals…and see the end of their UCL road.
Champions League 2023/24 Supercomputer: Final League Phase Table
Bayern Munich is predicted to have a very good League Phase with a 7-1-0 record.
Champions League 2023/24 Supercomputer: Knockout Round Score Predictions
Per the Supercomputer, Bayern Munich will be eliminated by Real Madrid in the quarterfinals:
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How does the Supercomputer work?
This is how the Supercomputer came to its conclusion:
Grosvenor Sport’s Supercomputer is a probability model, not determined by human predictions or bias. The Supercomputer estimates the outcome of each fixture based on a team’s current strength (based on factors such as league position and form) and betting market odds.
The predictions are the result of a model simulating every game in the competition and predicting the exact score it thinks every game will be. A level of randomness is added to the predictions to ensure that upsets happen rather than the best teams in the league winning every game. The outcome of the score predictions is the most common result between the relevant teams.
The model then simulates the remaining games in a season 1,000 times and constructs an average league table from the 1,000 simulations, to rule out anomalous results. This is in order to capture as many different outcomes as possible, and this includes teams like Aston Villa winning the Champions League in a small number of simulations.
The final score predictions are the result of these simulations then being compiled into what the Supercomputer predicts at present given all the information that is available to it, but there is a range of possibilities within these predictions.
Looking for more thoughts on the contract negotiations between Bayern Munich and Jamal Musiala, plus a take on Didi Hamann’s recent criticism of Musiala? What about an assessment of that crazy rumor eyeing a double-swoop of transfers in Joshua Kimmich and Leon Goretzka? Awesome, then check out the latest edition of the Bavarian Podcast Works — Weekend Warm-up Show on Patreon, Spotify, or below:
